The main issue facing the
economy is sluggishness in demand. In this context, the Finance
Minister’s emphasis this year on issues relating to
agriculture and infrastructure is welcome. This Budget is
correctly focused on measures to boost agricultural income by
raising farm productivity and reducing the impediments to the
free movement of farm produce, and to improving the quality of
the country’s infrastructure, particularly the proposal for a
significant increase in the outlay on roads. These measures,
which are central to second-generation reforms, will provide
much-needed fillip to aggregate demand in the economy.
The slowdown in industrial
growth, reflecting the economy’s demand sluggishness as also
the challenges of globalisation, is the other significant issue
facing the Indian economy. The Budget proposal of additional
depreciation to encourage new investment and expand capacity is
welcome, but may not go very far in addressing the concerns of
Indian industry of rapidly becoming globally competitive.
There is concern at the return
of the dividend tax at the hands of the recipients. Just when
the capital market was regaining its momentum and needed a boost
to its sentiment, comes a measure which investors — whether
corporates, mutual funds or individuals — will find difficult to
regard in a positive light.
Unlike last
year’s Budget, this Budget contains fewer broad
initiatives. However, if the rate of implementation
of the government’s announcements is superior
this time around, the country may well be the
bigger gainer from this Budget.