|
Till the
early 1990s, South Africa was governed by the policy
of apartheid and remained largely isolated from the
international economy. But the apartheid dispensation
was dumped following the release of Nelson Mandela from
prison. Shortly thereafter, Mandela and his party, the
African National Congress (ANC), were swept to power
and the South African economy was opened to the world.
South Africa has the most advanced
economy in the African continent and its geographical
position provides an ideal gateway to Sub-Saharan Africa.
The country has a lot of opportunities for international
investors, particularly Indian investors, but it does
hold potential risks.
After the end of apartheid, the
main opposition party, the ANC, won the country's first-ever
free and fair elections, in April 2004. The ANC won
a two-thirds majority in the national assembly, enabling
it to amend South Africa's constitution. The Black Economic
Empowerment (BEE) charters across all sectors began
being implemented.
Economy
A firmer recovery in external demand, growth in tourism
and continued expansion in total domestic demand is
expected to boost South Africa's real GDP growth in
2005. There has been a recent revision in the country's
GDP data, with improved coverage of the manufacturing,
agricultural, retail and services sectors. Thus, real
GDP growth is estimated to grow at over 3.5 per cent
in 2005.
The most important contributors
to the South African economy are mining, manufacturing
and agriculture. Most economic activity takes place
in Gauteng, where the majority of mining occurs.
The country's financial and industrial
infrastructure is well developed and has excellent growth
potential. But South Africa is plagued by the problem
of huge socio-economic inequalities, which were fostered
by the apartheid regime. This problem continues to manifest
itself in the form of high unemployment rates, widespread
poverty and steep increases in crime. An informal sector
has developed as a result of unemployment and this poses
another challenge to the country's economic development.
South Africa's economic policies
are focused on increasing both economic growth and investment
in order to create employment. Inflation is under control
in the country, external debt is manageable and the
degree of political stability is high. Thus, the economic
outlook for the South African economy is positive.
Industry sectors
Mining is South Africa's largest industry sector, followed
by manufacturing, oil and gas, chemicals, agriculture,
and tourism. The country is globally recognised as a
leading supplier of a variety of minerals and mineral
products, which are exported to as many as 87 countries.
Approximately 55 different minerals are produced from
more than 700 mining facilities, with gold, platinum
group elements, coal and diamonds dominating exports
and revenue earnings.
However, the structure of the
mining industry is set to change dramatically following
the introduction of South Africa's new mining charter,
which cedes all mineral rights to the state as well
as introducing an empowerment component for all future
mining developments in the country.
Agriculture contributes 4 per
cent to South Africa's GDP and consists largely of cattle
and sheep farming (only 13 per cent of land is used
for growing crops). Clothing and textiles and the financial
services and banking sectors have recorded significant
growth in recent years. The clothing and textiles industry
has ridden the Africa Growth and Opportunity Act to
earn Rand 791 million in 2001 from exports to the US
alone, an increase of 51 per cent from the year before.
The conference and exhibition
industry earned South Africa Rand 17.4 billion in 2001
and created 250,000 new jobs. The country has a 2.5-per
cent share of the global market for this industry.
Investment
Since 1994, the government of South Africa has taken
steps to make the country more open to foreign investment.
In 1997, the Department of Trade and Industry launched
a national investment agency called Investment South
Africa, tasked with the promotion of investment at the
national and provincial levels.
The agency also provides investment
requirements and makes opportunities available in every
province. There is no restriction on the extent or type
of foreign investment in South Africa. The government
has tried to encourage both foreign and domestic investment
through the introduction of incentives.
Opportunities
A stable government and its commitment to reforms and
economic progress have made South Africa a favourite
investment destination. The country holds a good potential
market for India, though the prevalence of highly inequitable
incomes has created a heavily distorted market.
But, with the ruling ANC determined
to remove these distortions by implementing the Black
Economic Empowerment (BEE) agenda and going ahead with
other major reforms, South Africa holds a lot of promise
in the medium term.
- South Africa is the world's
fourth fastest-growing GSM market, with a growth rate
of 50 per cent each year.
- The Southern African Development
Community (SADC), with an estimated 250 million consumers,
is a large regional market, but demand from there
will depend on the pace of economic growth and this
has been slow.
- The auto industry is a high-value
market but, due to heavy income inequalities, it is
distorted. Once the BEE is implemented, it will result
in a more equitable income distribution. In such a
scenario the market will develop and provide good
opportunities for auto manufacturers.
- The largest South African
steel producer is highly cost-competitive. Input material
costs are below the international average in all cases
save for scrap. Wages are less than half the average,
while labour productivity rates are above average.
Process costs are also lower due to the high quality
of iron ore used.
- Countries having plants with
lower 'through stage' costs than the main South African
steel plant producing hot-rolled coil are: Brazil,
China, India, Russia and Ukraine. Most of these have
been targets of anti-dumping actions by South Africa.
- South Africa has about 80
per cent of the world's total chrome reserves, most
of it derived from ores in the Bushveld Igneous Complex.
- Tourism will remain an important
sector for South Africa, which has considerable untapped
potential, particularly in the two- and three-star
segment of the market. But there is a need for more
investment in the sector if it is to fulfil its potential.
Key issues
The South African government is keen to attract foreign
investment, but has been slow to remove many of the
hurdles investors face, notably securing work permits
for even senior managers. It has also proved unwilling
to provide specific incentives for foreign investors,
although the prospect of this has been raised on several
occasions.
There has been a lot of foreign
direct investment in the country's automotive industry.
There is, thus, a potential for investors seeking domestic,
regional and wider export markets. However, investors
will have to address two key issues:
- BEE: The South
African government is firmly committed to promoting
BEE, and investors need to have plans to include training
black workers at all levels of the company and working
with other BEE companies. This is especially the case
if a company has any plans to deal with the government.
- HIV / AIDS: All
companies investing in South Africa should have a
carefully developed HIV / AIDS policy, given the high
rates of infection. This should range from direct
provision of healthcare and policies affecting direct
relatives to training staff members.
|